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Chow closing strong

Mainstreet Research
October 25, 2026
10/25/2026
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5 min read

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The final snapshot from Mainstreet Research for the Toronto Mayoral election sees incumbent Olivia Chow regain the lead over Bradford.

Among Decided and leaning voters, Chow leads by 5 points largely due to bigger leads in Downtown Toronto and among voters under 50 years of age. The gender divide continues with Bradford leading among men and Chow leading among women.

"This race remains uncertain" said Quito Maggi, President & CEO of Mainstreet. "If less likely voters and undecided voters who say they will definitely not vote for Chow, it could be a significant win for Olivia Chow" he added. "If older voters and the remaining undecided turn out in big numbers, Bradford could win in a close contest" he continued. "The relative turnout in Downtown, North York, Etobicoke & Scarborough will also be a factor" he concluded.

For media inquiries, please contact Quito Maggi at quito@mainstreetresearch.ca or (416) 570-3762.

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Founded in 2010, is recognized as one of Canada’s top public opinion and market research firms. Since our founding, we have been providing actionable and data-driven insights to our clients to help them make their most important evidence-based strategic decisions.

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