2025 Canadian Federal Election

Last updated on
April 24, 2025
Model Methodology
Liberal
189
Seats
29
42.7
%
Percentage
10.1
%
80.8
%
Majority Probability
14.6
%
Minority Probability
Conservative
125
Seats
6
39.6
%
Percentage
5.9
%
0.9
%
Majority Probability
3.7
%
Minority Probability
Bloc
19
Seats
-13
5.4
%
Percentage
-2.2
%
0
%
Majority Probability
0
%
Minority Probability
New Democrat
7
Seats
-18
8.8
%
Percentage
-9
%
Green
3
Seats
1
1.5
%
Percentage
-0.8
%
People's
0
Seats
0
0.8
%
Percentage
-4.1
%
Canada
Canada
Ontario
Quebec
British Columbia
Prairies
Atlantic
Crosstabs
Voter Intention
Seat Count

Canadian Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections

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Ontario Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections

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Quebec Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections

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British Columbia Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections

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Prairies Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections

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Atlantic Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections

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Lastest Mainstreet Polling Crosstabs

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Mainstreet Canadian Federal Voter Intention Polling

House of Commons Seat Count Projections