Polling
Services
Dashboards
Canada
Ontario
Nova Scotia
Saskatchewan
New Brunswick
British Columbia
About
Contact
Log In
Log Out
Account
Subscribe
Canadian Federal
2025 Election
Last updated on
February 19, 2025
Model Methodology
Conservative
171
Seats
52
38.7
%
Percentage
5
%
49.4
%
Majority Probability
45.5
%
Minority Probability
Liberal
108
Seats
-45
36.4
%
Percentage
3.8
%
0.1
%
Majority Probability
5
%
Minority Probability
Bloc
51
Seats
18
9.6
%
Percentage
2
%
0
%
Majority Probability
0
%
Minority Probability
New Democrat
13
Seats
-12
11.1
%
Percentage
-6.7
%
People's
0
Seats
0
1.7
%
Percentage
-3.2
%
Green
0
Seats
-2
1.9
%
Percentage
-0.4
%
Canada
Canada
Voter Intention
Seat Count
Canada
Voter Intention
Seat Count
Canadian Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections
Log In or Subscribe to access Canadian Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections
Log In
Subscribe
Mainstreet Canadian Federal Voter Intention Polling
House of Commons Seat Count Projections