2025 Canadian Federal Election

Last updated on
March 14, 2025
Model Methodology
Liberal
179
Seats
26
40.9
%
Percentage
8.3
%
61.4
%
Majority Probability
32
%
Minority Probability
Conservative
127
Seats
8
38.6
%
Percentage
4.9
%
1
%
Majority Probability
5.5
%
Minority Probability
Bloc
29
Seats
-4
5.6
%
Percentage
-2
%
0
%
Majority Probability
0
%
Minority Probability
New Democrat
6
Seats
-19
8.1
%
Percentage
-9.7
%
Green
2
Seats
0
2.1
%
Percentage
-0.2
%
People's
0
Seats
0
3
%
Percentage
-1.9
%
Canada
Canada
Ontario
Quebec
British Columbia
Prairies
Atlantic
Crosstabs
Voter Intention
Seat Count

Canadian Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections

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Ontario Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections

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Quebec Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections

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British Columbia Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections

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Prairies Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections

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Atlantic Federal Electoral Districts Vote Projections

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Lastest Mainstreet Polling Crosstabs

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Mainstreet Canadian Federal Voter Intention Polling

House of Commons Seat Count Projections