Canadian Federal 2025 Election

Last updated on
December 20, 2024
Model Methodology
Conservatives
243
Seats
124
48.3
%
Percentage
14.6
%
100
%
Majority Probability
0
%
Minority Probability
Bloc
40
Seats
7
7.6
%
Percentage
0
%
0
%
Majority Probability
0
%
Minority Probability
Liberals
36
Seats
-117
19.2
%
Percentage
-13.4
%
0
%
Majority Probability
0
%
Minority Probability
New Democrats
23
Seats
-2
15.1
%
Percentage
-2.7
%
Greens
1
Seats
-1
4.4
%
Percentage
2.1
%
People's
0
Seats
0
3.8
%
Percentage
-1.1
%
Canada
Canada
Voter Intention
Seat Count

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Mainstreet Canadian Federal Voter Intention Polling

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