Blog
Category

Carney enjoying extended honeymoon one year in

Mainstreet Research
March 16, 2026
5 min read

Download Public Polling Report

Subscriber Exclusive

Subscriber Exclusive

Log In or Subscribe
to access full polling report with crosstabs.

Download Subscriber Polling Report

The latest Mainstreet Research study of Canada shows a stable lead extending for Mark Carney and the Liberals (46%) over Pierre Poilievre and the Conservatives (36%). The NDP continues to struggle as they reach the conclusion of their leadership race. Under interim leader Don Davies, they have recovered back to 7%. The Bloc Quebecois could lose seats with their current standing in Quebec, trailing the Liberals by more than 20 points (45.8% to 23.5%) in Quebec. This could point to an advantage for the Liberals in the ongoing by-election In Terrebonne.

“Mark Carney has a clear lane to his majority Government in the month ahead” said Quito Maggi, President & CEO of Mainstreet Research. “While we have seen unusual results in by-election due to local issues and different voter turnout dynamics, these numbers are promising for a clean sweep for the Liberals on April 13th he added. “The advantages enjoyed by the Liberals in Quebec, Ontario, Atlantic Canada have now been amplified by BC and most surprisingly, a close race in Alberta.” He continued. “It’s unclear if anything can change significantly enough to change the expected outcome, we shall see” he concluded.

For media inquiries, please contact Quito Maggi at quito@mainstreetresearch.ca or 416-570-3762.

About Mainstreet Research

Founded in 2010, is recognized as one of Canada’s top public opinion and market research firms. Since our founding, we have been providing actionable and data-driven insights to our clients to help them make their most important evidence-based strategic decisions.

Mainstreet has an impressive track record in accurately forecasting election results in Canada and the United States and has become a trusted source for comprehensive market research, analysis and advice. Our insights are found in major media outlets across the country.

Let's Get Started.

Bringing accurate data to political, corporate and not-for-profit organizations to make informed decisions.