November 8, 2016 (Ottawa, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds an overwhelming number of Canadians would support Hillary Clinton for president – but if Donald Trump wins Americans shouldn’t be expecting new immigration rules to make it easier for them to immigrate to Canada. With 5,066 Canadians surveyed from November 5-6, the Mainstreet/Postmedia Poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.38, 19 times out of 20.
“Hillary Clinton would win a massive majority of the popular vote in Canada if the US election candidates were pitted against one another here,” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. “Over three quarters of Canadian women would support Hillary Clinton compared to just 15% who indicated they would support republican candidate Donald Trump. Among Canadian men, almost 6 in 10 would vote for Clinton (58%) while just 2 in 10 would vote for Trump (20%)”.
“This election has been quite divisive south of the border and many Canadians are anxious about the outcome on Tuesday. At stake are numerous international agreements, including NAFTA, TPP and the Paris Climate Accord. Other important economic implications including pipeline development will hinge on the outcome. As the campaign comes to a close it looks like Clinton’s lead may have stabilized and the recent Trump momentum has been stopped. With a dozen or so competitive States still too close to call, some nerves are expected both in the US and in international markets.”
“While the possibility of a Trump presidency is remote at this point according to American pollsters, aggregators and pundits, we asked Canadians if they would welcome American immigrants fleeing a Trump led US. Only a small percentage of Canadians would like to ease immigration regulations to facilitate American immigrants (11%) compared to 72% who would not want to ease immigration from our southern neighbours. While many American may jokingly or seriously be contemplating moving to Canada if Trump wins – it’s not as easy as they may think. Canada’s immigration system is very generous but Americans would have to apply just like anybody else, and would only be offered permenant residency if deemed appropriate,” finished Maggi.
About Mainstreet Research
Mainstreet is a national public research ﬁrm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public aﬀairs.
Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.