May 29, 2017 (Ottawa, ON) – A new Mainstreet/iPolitics poll finds the Nova Scotia Liberals’ finishing the election ahead of the NS PCs with a solid lead. The Mainstreet/iPolitics poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.81 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
“We’re more or less back to where we started at the beginning of the campaign” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. “The PCs are up from the beginning of the campaign, and the NDP are down somewhat, but the Liberals continue to lead, now in both the Greater Halifax Area and the Rest of Nova Scotia (which does not include Cape Breton CMA).”
Among Decided & Leaning Voters: Liberals 41% (+4), PCs 33% (-1), NDP 22% (-3), Greens 4% (-)
“One consistent problem for the Liberals has been female voters, a problem that now seems to have resolved itself. The Liberals now tie with the PCs among female voters. We have been watching the Liberals continually dominating with male voters and the continues in this survey.”
“The Liberals’ regional leads points to a Liberal government on Tuesday. How vote splits will affect individual ridings is tough to predict, incumbents are typically able to outperform regional numbers and with the size of the average riding relatively small, local candidates can make more of an impact since they are able to meet more voters on a one-on-one basis. With a lead of 7 percentage points the Liberals are in a healthy positon. In the final phase of the campaign get-out-the-vote efforts are more important than anything else. Election Day will show which campaigns were successful at convincing their voters to head to the polls,” finished Maggi.