October 21, 2015 (Toronto, ON) – Mainstreet’s analysis of election results has found Mainstreet was the most accurate when it came to the Liberals, Conservatives & NDP.
“We are very proud of the work we produced this election campaign,” said Quito Maggi, president of Mainstreet Research. “Pollsters, in general, called this election correctly. I want to congratulate the other pollsters and their staff for all of their hard work and their results. Collectively the industry was correct. And of course, I am happy to say that Mainstreet was the most accurate when you compare our results to the final numbers for the Conservatives, Liberals and NDP.”
Mainstreet submitted final numbers to Postmedia and Polling Aggregator threehundredeight.com on October 18th, 2015.
Liberals – 39.0 (Actual: 39.5%)
Conservatives – 31.9 (Actual: 31.9%)
NDP – 20.9 (Actual: 19.7%)
This represents a total variance of 1.7%, with each number within the poll’s margin of error. Mainstreet had the lowest amount of variance for the three major parties of any pollster.
“On October 13th, we predicted a Liberal majority. There were some who did not believe us then, and who still did not believe us even after Atlantic Canada began reporting results. We did not hedge on our prediction because we believe in our work – we were so sure we even issued a press release re-affirming our public prediction. We look forward to continuing to poll Canadians,” finished Maggi.
Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal Majority government.
ABOUT MAINSTREET RESEARCH
Mainstreet is a national public research ﬁrm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public aﬀairs.
Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.