Monthly Archives : November 2015

Home2015November
Canada-Flag-360

Canadians Prefer Bombing Mission – But More Approve of Training

November 19, 2015 (Toronto, ON) – A new national Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds Canadians would choose a bombing mission over a training mission 38% to 28% – but more approve of the training mission, 70%, than the bombing mission, 60%, overall. The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.88 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

“Support is more intense for the bombing mission than the training mission,” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. “But the training mission has wider support. Either way, most Canadians believe Canada should be taking a role in the fight against ISIS. Only 8% of Canadians would support no action at all.”

Opinion is split on Canadian action on refugees. 46% of Canadians are dissatisfied (42% satisfied) and 53% disapprove of the government’s plan to bring in 25,000 refugees by the end of the year.

“Conservatives have said the refugee plan needs to be slowed down for proper security screening,” continued Maggi. “This has been repeated in the United States with headlines showing some states won’t accept refugees. Our earlier polling showed strong support for bringing refugees to Canada but after the attacks in Paris security is now a higher concern.”

“We asked Canadians if they thought an attack was likely here at home, 28% said it’s very likely and 38%. Most expect the threat will come from overseas, 41% see international terrorism as a greater threat than domestic terrorism, 34%, despite the fact Canada has faced significantly more domestic terrorist attacks.”

“Most, 63%, are not concerned about an attack occurring at their home or workplace. And 42% of Canadians do not believe Canada is ready to confront a terrorist attack, while 26% do, and 32% don’t know,” finished Maggi.

About Mainstreet Research
Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.

-30-

Mainstreet – November National

Ontario-Flag-360

Thumbs Down For Union Payouts

November 3, 2015 (Toronto, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds Ontarians strongly disapprove of the Government’s handling of teacher negotiations. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.96 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

“Ontarians are closely following the province’s negotiations with teachers and they do not like what they see,” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. “72% of Ontarians say they are following stories about the teachers negotiations.”

The poll found Ontarians disapprove of the government’s negotiations and especially disapprove of the government offsetting the costs of negotiations to teachers unions.

“58% disapprove of the negotiations in general, 71% are opposed to defraying the costs of negotiations to unions, these are some very strong numbers. Recently we’ve heard new messaging that unions will need to submit receipts to be reimbursed, and also that no money has yet been paid out, whether those messages will resonate moving forward remains to be seen but for now Ontarians are not impressed,” finished Maggi.

“Looking at the provincial horserace there has not been a lot of movement. The NDP are up slightly (+1%) and the Liberals are down slightly (-2%) which is within the margin of error. The Greens and are PCs holding steady for now at 5% and 31% respectively,” finished Maggi.

ABOUT MAINSTREET
Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.

-30-

Mainstreet – Ontario October 2015

Calgary360

Few Want Airport Renamed for Harper Immediately

November 3, 2015 (Toronto, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds most Calgarians are not in favour of immediately renaming Calgary International Airport after outgoing Prime Minister Stephen Harper though 19% support doing so and 45% would be open to the idea at a later date. With 1,073 respondents the poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.99 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

“There’s a relatively small group of people who support renaming the airport immediately and a relatively small number that are opposed no matter the circumstance but most are open-minded to the idea in the future,” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. “This is probably the wrong time to poll this question and the wrong time for this idea – he just lost the election. I think the idea would have more traction in the future, but not now.”

“1 in 5 Calgarians aren’t sure what to make of the proposal, so there is room for both sides to argue their case, but for now the vast majority are happy to leave Calgary International Airport the way it is. They’re not saying no forever, but not now,” he finished.

ABOUT MAINSTREET
Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.

-30-

Mainstreet – Calgary Airport

Alberta-Flag-360

43% Disapprove of Alberta Budget

November 2, 2015 (Toronto, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds 43% of Albertans disapprove of the budget while one in four have not made up their mind. With 3,199 respondents the poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.73 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

“While the budget doesn’t have wide support several measures within it do,” said David Valentin, Executive-Vice President of Mainstreet Research. “There is strong support for new sin taxes and for the job creation incentive program despite warnings from Economists and the opposition that it will do little to spur employment. 71% approve of the job creation incentive program while 59% approve of increases to the cost of cigarettes and liquor.”

The poll found most Albertans want to move ahead with capital spending, 55% say spending on capital projects should not be cut while 49% approve of the province’s capital spending plan.

“A real strength for the government on this has been that they’ve been specific about some of the projects that are included in the infrastructure plan. There has been a strong desire for a comprehensive cancer centre in Calgary as well as the ring road, and there is of course a real need for new schools that have been announced and re-announced time and time again,” continued Valentin. “Despite the cost Albertans are onboard with the infrastructure plan.”

When looking at the provincial horserace the NDP and Wildrose are in a deadheat. The Wildrose are down 2% to 33% while the NDP are up 2% to 32%. “The numbers are within the margin of error but it’s a bit counter-intuitive that while the NDP have delivered a tough budget that they would remain stable and trend slightly upward,” continued Valentin. “I think low expectations for the budget certainly played a role. Certainly it has not helped the Wildrose that the conversation has been about their opposition to 9 AM sittings rather than some of the measures in the budget.”

Most Albertans, 58%, say Alberta is headed in the wrong direction. “There’s not a great deal of optimism for the provincial economy. We’ve seen this in many of our polls from this year. It’s not a surprise to see these numbers when layoffs continue to be reported,” finished Valentin.

ABOUT MAINSTREET
Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.

-30-

Mainstreet – Alberta Budget October 2015