Monthly Archives : August 2015

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Alberta-Flag-360

Albertans Side with Harper; Still Support Royalty Review

August 21, 2015 (Toronto, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds most Albertans siding with Stephen Harper over Rachel Notley and believe Harper is the best defender of Alberta’s interests. With 3,075 respondents the Mainstreet Research poll conducted for Postmedia has a margin of error of +/- 1.77%, 19/20.

“Premier Notley’s approval is staying fairly strong, despite her disapproval numbers increasing significantly since her election back in May,” said Quito Maggi, president of Mainstreet Research. “Recent economic factors, primarily a continued slide in oil prices, are likely a factor in the increased disapproval. These prices will affect Alberta’s resource economy negatively, how the Notley government responds to this new challenge will be the first big test of her Government. So far, Albertans are waiting to see the specifics of her plan which will be unveiled in the fall budget.”

The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll found only 40% of Albertans are optimistic about their family’s upcoming financial situation a drop of 12% from May. Even fewer, 21%, are optimistic about Alberta’s economy, a drop of 20% from May.

“An increasing number of Albertans are pessimistic about the year ahead, and optimistic Albertans are decreasing amid a prolonged oil price slump. The number of those who don’t know and are uncertain has spiked up. It’s worth noting that Albertans are less optimistic for both the province and their own households since we polled the questions in January,” continued Maggi.

“It appears that in the battle between the Premier and the Prime Minister, most Albertan’s side with Stephen Harper, but not as overwhelmingly as might be expected. More Albertans also believe that Stephen Harper is a better advocate for their Province. Premier Notley fares best in, no surprise, Edmonton (48% Notley, 36% Harper) where Stephen Harper fares worst. Meanwhile Harper receives his highest score in the conflict from Calgary (59%).

”Most Albertans, close to 50% (Actual: 47%) still support the government’s royalty review. That is down from 65% in May but represents a significant amount of support for the policy in very tough economic times for the province,” Maggi finished.

About Mainstreet Research
Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario.

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Mainstreet – Alberta August

Love360

22% Have Thought Seriously About Cheating

August 27, 2015 (Toronto, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds most Canadians saying they have never cheated on their partners but one out of five say they have seriously considered it. With 2,459 respondents the Mainstreet Research poll conducted for Postmedia has a margin of error of +/- 1.98%, 19/20.

“Canadians agree, on the most part, on what constitutes cheating” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. “But there are some things Canadians disagree on, and when they do, the difference falls mainly among gender lines. 17% of Canadian women, for instance, believe watching pornography constitutes cheating compared to 9% of Canadian men who think the same.”

“Most Canadians say they have not cheated, though many have thought about it. Again, we see a gender divide with 13% of Canadian men saying they have cheated compared to just 8% of Canadian women. The numbers are more or less equal however when we look at those who have seriously considered cheating on their partner. 20% of Canadian women and 23% of Canadian men say it’s more than crossed their mind.”

“Most believe signing up for a dating website or service, like Plenty of Fish or OKCupid qualifies as cheating (77%), though Canadians are split on flirting and 72% say going to a strip club doesn’t count.”

Highlights
– 10% of Canadians say they have cheated on their spouse or partner (80% no, 10% refused to answer)
-22% say they have seriously considered it (65% said no, 13% refused to answer)
– 13% say watching pornography counts as infidelity; Males 9%; Females 17%
– 40% say flirting counts as infidelity while 43% say it does not
– 86% agree that hiring a prostitute counts as infidelity

About Mainstreet Research
Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario.

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Mainstreet – Relationships – Summer

Calgary360

Calgarians Split on CalgaryNext

August 22, 2015 (Toronto, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds Calgarians split on the proposed CalgaryNext development with 39% supporting the project and 34% opposing it. The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.67%, 19 times out of 20.

“There is not a lot of agreement on CalgaryNext” said David Valentin, executive vice-president of Mainstreet Research. “Our findings show that Calgarians are following this story, 71% are following the story and 41% are following it very closely.”

“Calgary residents are split on whether McMahon stadium and the Scotiabank Saddledome should be renovated or replaced – though most agree something should be done and fewer than 20% believe the facilities should be left as is. They are split on who should pay for the development, 45% say it should be solely bankrolled by the Flames ownership group while 40% say there should be government involvement. And Calgary residents who want to see the government play a role are split on whether there should be federal funding for the project, 39% say yes, 36% say no.”

“Where there is agreement is that Calgarians do not approve of the current funding plan for CalgaryNext and they believe it is the government who should be responsible for cleaning up the creosote on the site of the proposed development – that could run into hundreds of millions of dollars.”

4 in 10 Calgarians believe that government and the Flames organization should jointly fund the project. Of those Calgarians, 56% believe city funds should be utilized and 65% believe the province should play a role.

“With almost 2 in 10 Calgarians undecided on government involvement in the project there is still an opportunity to shift public opinion. They are the group that supporters and critics of this project will want to communicate with most closely,” finished Valentin.

About Mainstreet Research
Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of November’s Toronto mayoral election.

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Calgary Next

Alberta-Flag-360

Foothills Showdown: Wildrose Narrowly Leads

August 21, 2015 (Toronto, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds the Wildrose party narrowly leading the race in Calgary Foothills with the NDP a strong second. The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/- 4.18%, 19 times out of 20.

“This race is going to be 100% about turnout,” said Quito Maggi, president of Mainstreet Research. “With the parties currently polling so close together, within the poll’s margin of error, this is going to be about who can bring the most voters out on Election Day.”

Complicating matters is the fact a federal election campaign is underway and that voters may be suffering from a severe case of democracy. Calgary Foothills voters have gone to the polls again, and again, and again. And after the by election is over they will have the federal vote to look forward to.

“This situation is unprecedented. I really cannot remember the last time resident have face this many elections in such a short time span – while a Federal campaign rages on in the background. Right now the most motivated supporters are those of the NDP and PCs (27% and 24%, certain to vote) but the Wildrose is doing very well with those likely to vote (36%), one tier below.”

“It should come as no surprise that the runaway issue is the economy. The price of oil continues to drop and unemployment numbers for Calgary and Alberta continue to rise. Meanwhile, Premier Notley holds a 43% approval rating though 1 in 4 residents of Calgary Foothills aren’t sure what to make of her yet and hold no opinion at all. It’s these voters, and those who are undecided, that are up for grabs for both the NDP and the opposition parties,” he finished.

About Mainstreet Research
Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of November’s Toronto mayoral election.

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Mainstreet – Calgary Foothills

Uber-360

Support for Uber Fluid Across Canada

August 21, 2015 (Toronto, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds Canadians divided over the ride-sharing service Uber; with those in larger cities—where Uber is more established—more likely to be supportive of it. Canadians were surveyed across six cities: Edmonton, London, Montréal, Québec City, Ottawa and Toronto. The maximum margin of error for the polls is +/-3.7%, 19/20. Collectively the six polls have 7,323 respondents; they are the largest independent poll of Uber worldwide.

“People are still making up their minds about Uber. While it’s not universally loved, Uber finds support among a critical mass of people in larger cities, especially with those who are younger” said Quito Maggi, president of Mainstreet Research. “Our findings show that most Canadians are paying close attention to the situation with Uber and taxis, with those most aware of the situation more likely to favour Uber. However, people are still unconvinced of Uber’s merits in the places where Uber has more recently expanded.”

Mainstreet found levels of support for Uber highest among younger people, namely those 18-34 and 35-49. This accounted for much of Uber’s backing in Toronto and Montréal. “Uber is most popular with a younger, more technologically conscious demographic, almost all of whom have smartphones” explained Maggi. “The generational gap in support for Uber reflects the fact that young people are, quite simply, much more familiar with it.” Those who were following the story surrounding Uber and taxis were also more likely to be supportive.

TORONTO
Torontonians are among the most favourable to the ride sharing service, with 45% of respondents in support of continuing operations while 37% want it banned. Seven in 10 respondents in the city are following the issue surrounding Uber and taxis, which began when UberX launched last fall. While Mayor John Tory has publicly backed Uber, city council is divided on the issue and some drivers have been ticketed for by-law infractions. A similar number of people consider Uber to be safe as support it (48%), while 85% say the same of taxis. Torontonians largely favour change in the taxi industry, with 44% wanting to abolish the current system, albeit most with compensation for current drivers. Respondents were strongly in favour of Uber playing by existing rules, with 63% saying Uber should have the same regulations as taxis. Most want a compromise between Uber and taxis to get there, with 38% favouring such a solution.

MONTRÉAL
Montréal is even slightly more enthusiastic about Uber than Toronto, with 46% of respondents in favour and 38% opposed. Uber has been a source of much friction in the city, where it launched last fall; Mayor Denis Coderre and much of city council are opposed to it. Earlier this summer, police impounded Uber cars and confrontations between taxi and Uber drivers turned violent. With Québec Premier Phillipe Couillard now indicating he’s open to regulating Uber, taxi drivers are growing increasingly agitated. Seven in ten respondents have been following the conflict. Uber’s strong levels of support are reflected in the 47% of respondents who consider it safe; 86% consider taxis safe. Nearly half of Montréalers want to shake up the taxi industry, with 48% favouring its abolition (35% with compensation for current drivers and 13% without.) Montréalers still want Uber to play by existing rules, however, with 63% believing Uber should be held to the same standards as taxis and 36% favouring a compromise between the two rivals as the way to get there.

OTTAWA
Ottawans were less enthusiastic about Uber than those in the bigger cities, with 36% supporting the continuation of Uber’s service and 40% supporting banning Uber. Ottawa was more aware of the Uber-taxi conflict than any other city in Canada, with 72% of respondents following the situation very or somewhat closely. Uber came to Ottawa late last year, and has been opposed by Mayor Jim Watson and the city’s taxi industry, with some drivers ticketed by by-law officers as well. While an overwhelming 88% of respondents felt that taxis were safe, the 50% who said the same of Uber was the highest number in Canada. Half of Ottawans favour abolishing the current system (most with compensation for current drivers); 34% believe that a compromise should be reached between Uber and the taxi industry and 58% think Uber should follow the same rules.
EDMONTON
Edmontonians feel similarly to Ottawans when it comes to Uber, 36% of them are in support of the service and 41% in favour of a ban; six in 10 are following the issue. Uber launched in Edmonton last December and has met with opposition from the taxi industry and a mixed reaction from City Hall. There was a brief, unsuccessful attempt to issue tickets to drivers, but only three were actually ticketed. Taxis remain popular, with 84% of respondents feeling that they are safe, compared to only 43% for Uber. People are split on what to do in the future, with 27% in favour of maintaining the system and the same amount wanting to abolish it with compensation for current drivers. There was less division on whether Uber should follow the same rules as taxis with 66% agreeing; 38% want a comprise to be reached to get there.

QUÉBEC CITY
Residents of Québec City were cool to Uber’s presence, with 43% backing a ban and 32% wanting the service to continue. Six in 10 Québeckers were aware of the issues surrounding Uber, which launched in the city earlier this year. Since then, it has encountered issues similar to other cities, including municipal opposition, by-law ticketing and taxi industry anger. Québec Premier Phillipe Couillard’s recent indication that he’s open to legalizing Uber has given the service new hope. While 43% said that they consider Uber to be safe, 86% felt that taxis were the same. Despite their opposition to Uber, 43% of Québeckers favour abolishing the current system. Furthermore, 60% want a compromise between Uber and the taxi industry and 35% want both to follow the same rules.

LONDON
Londoners were most hostile to Uber, with nearly half wanting it banned and only 23% supporting the ride sharing service’s continued operations. Uber launched in London last month, which explains why only 37% of respondents have been following the Uber-taxi issue. City council has been relatively friendly, but the lack of students at Western likely explains the low awareness and support for Uber, even among young people. Londoners took a dim view of Uber’s safety record; only 29% called it safe, compared to 85% for taxis. The situation does have a silver lining for Uber: 57% of Londoners favour abolishing the current system, most without compensation for taxi drivers. They want Uber and the taxi industry to follow the same rules (64%), and think the two rivals to compromise in order to get there (34%.)

“Canadians are still getting used to Uber,” added Maggi. “We see that in larger cities where the ride sharing service is more accepted, people are much more likely to support it. Uber’s challenge is to raise awareness and get more people using the service, which will build support, while avoiding trouble with regulation and the taxi industry. The window for the Taxi industry to impact public opinion is narrowing but they have a key advantage when it comes to safety. The challenge for Taxis will be to offer comparable smartphone applications in order to compete and to convince City Halls across Canada to take action against Uber in the face of rising public support.”

About Mainstreet Research
Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of November’s Toronto mayoral election.

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Uber National

Ontario-Flag-360

Ontarians Split on Pension Plan

August 21, 2015 (Toronto, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds Ontarians split on the Ontario Retirement Pension Plan. The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/- 2%, 19 times out of 20.

“Ontario is shaping up to be a key battleground for the coming election in October and the lines have been clearly drawn with Premier Wynne actively campaigning for Justin Trudeau,” said Quito Maggi, president of Mainstreet Research. “Ontario voters have mixed feelings about the Premier getting involved in the federal election with 42% approving versus 48% disapproving. Among those who disapprove however, 42% disapprove strongly compared to just 27% who strongly approve. It appears that Ontario voters feel strongly about this one way or another with only 1 in 10 indicating no opinion. ”

“The proposed Ontario Pension Plan has been a hot button issue of contention between the Provincial and Federal governments. A number of federal Conservatives have called it a new tax despite its popularity at the Province. Toronto will likely get its way again as support for ORRP is highest in the vote and seat rich provincial capital with 44% strong approval. Across the province support for the creation of an Ontario Pension plan is 46% with 33% strong approval compared with 42% disapproval, including a substantial 38% strongly disapproving.”

“The sustained decline in the manufacturing sector in Ontario is another issue faced by both Provincial and Federal governments. When asked which Federal leader they believed would be able to help the struggling sector and create jobs, most Ontarians (30%) said Stephen Harper followed closely by Justin Trudeau at 27% and just 18% said Tom Mulcair.”

“The escalating animosity between Ontario and the Federal government is likely viewed as an obstacle to solving some of the challenges that require cooperation between levels of government. It’s likely people believe a Trudeau/Wynne alliance would help Ontario tackle these issues and that is reflected in these numbers. We know however, that voting intentions across Ontario remain deadlocked despite those perceptions. Whether those perceptions translate to increased support for Trudeau or not, only time will tell,” he finished.

About Mainstreet Research
Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of November’s Toronto mayoral election.

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Mainstreet – Ontario August

Canada-360

Three Way Race

August 14, 2015 (Toronto, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds a three way race among the Conservatives, NDP and Liberals. With 5,401 respondents the Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.35%, 19/20.

Among decided and leaning voters (A11) the Conservatives lead with 31% (-4%) compared to 30% (+1%) for the NDP and 29% (+3%) for the Liberals with the Green Party at 6% (no change).

“Quebec and Ontario continue to drive national numbers as the Conservatives have slipped in Ontario to just a single digit lead and the NDP lead has shrunk in to Quebec to just a few points over surging Liberals. Nationally, this means we are back to a three way race with the Conservative lead narrowing to just 4 points over both the Liberals and the NDP,” said Quito Maggi, president of Mainstreet Research.

Mainstreet Momentum Tracker

“Our Momentum Tracker continues to show the momentum with the Conservative party that now enjoys a 3 point lead over the NDP and an 5 point lead over the Liberals. In Québec, the Liberals and NDP are now neck and neck 30 to 28 with the BQ back at 21 and the Conservatives in fourth place at just 18. The strength of Conservative support continues to outpace both the Liberals and NDP and despite trailing distantly among undecided leaning voters and second choice for vote switchers, they hold a similar lead as we found two weeks ago.”

Post Debate Bump

“Whether the post debate bump enjoyed by Justin Trudeau and the Liberal party can be maintained, only time will tell, but this race has only just begun.” The bump is likely not from the debate itself but from the media coverage surrounding it.

Canadians Want May in More Debates

“An overwhelming majority of Canadians approve of allowing the Green Party leader to take part in future debates. 79% approve including 63% who strongly approve. Only 11% disapprove, with just 5% strongly disapproving.”

Most Following the Campaign, Even Now in Summer

“It appears that Canadians are engaged in this election, with over 7 in 10 indicating they are following the campaign, including over 40% who say they are following it very closely. This is both good and bad news for the candidates and leaders. While this represents an opportunity for all parties to communicate their platforms and policies, it also presents a risk that small mis-steps could have a significant effect on voter intention numbers.”

Regional Races Show a Divided Canada

“In the regional races, a few regions are beginning to be surprisingly competitive, with Manitoba being the most obvious. While Conservatives still enjoy a lead, the Liberals are just 7 points back and the NDP trail with just 15%. The NDP commands a big lead in BC, leading Liberals by 13 and the Conservatives by 15 at 38% and on the other end of the country, Liberals continue to dominate Atlantic Canada by 15% over the Conervatives and 20% over the NDP with 43%.”

No Leader Has Clear Senate Advantage

“Canadians are evenly split on which party leader they trust to fix the Senate, 24% for each of Tom Mulcair and Stephen Harper with Justin Trudeau just one point back at 23%. Although recent scandals involving Senators have been primarily with Harper appointed Senate members, he continues to be trusted with this file equally with his rivals.”

Uncertain Economy; Most Believe Canada is Entering a Recession

“The economy continues to be a major issue for the coming election as recent world events and oil prices affect the economy and employment negatively across Canada. Canadians are feeling less secure than they were a year ago, 44% vs just 14% who say they feel more secure. In fact, over 60% of Canadians believe we are already in a recession, compared to just 17% who say Canada is not in a recession. As that financial insecurity increases, look for greater scrutiny of each parties economic platforms.”

“When asked about the year ahead, more Canadians are pessimistic about the Canadian economy than optimistic by a factor of almost 2 to 1. (48% to 27%) When asked about their own personal financial situation in the next 12 months, the tables are turned with 48% saying they are optimistic vs just 28% saying they are pessimistic,” Maggi finished.

Regional Margins of Error: British Columbia +/- 3.59%; Alberta +/- 3.59%; Saskatchewan +/- 3.92%; Manitoba +/- 3.84%; Ontario +/- 2.68%; Québec +/- 3.17%; Atlantic Canada +/- 4.9% (all 19/20)

 

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Mainstreet – National August

Trudeau Narrowly Wins Debate

August 8, 2015 (Toronto, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds British Columbians who watched the leaders debate impressed by Justin Trudeau. 26% of British Columbians who watched the debate say Trudeau did the better job. Tom Mulcair was a close second at 23%, with Elizabeth May right behind at 22%. The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.36%, 19/20.

The poll surveyed British Columbians immediately following the Maclean’s election debate. Numerous studies have shown that media coverage of an election debate influences perceptions of the debate itself. The debate was broadcast at 8 PM EST which placed constraints on the area Mainstreet could survey.

“Mr. Trudeau had a solid debate performance after going into the night with low expectations”, said Quito Maggi, president of Mainstreet. “It is a much needed debate win for the Liberal Leader though Mr. Mulcair also did very well and placed a close second. The NDP has been performing very well in BC so Mr. Trudeau’s numbers come as a surprise.”

“There was no ‘knockout punch’ Thursday night but strong performances from all leaders though Mr. Trudeau was more aggressive and animated. Leaders are measured against expectations which may be why both Mr. Trudeau and Ms. May both scored so well. Ms. May made a persuasive case for being invited back to future debates; she was concise, on message and thoughtful.”

Tom Mulcair leads among other measures, 34% say he would make the better Prime Minister compared to 27% for Justin Trudeau and 21% for Stephen Harper. 37% of respondents (debate watchers) said they would vote for Mr. Mulcair if the election were held today and that they think the NDP will win the election.

“What kind of impact the debate has going forward remains to be seen. BC is shaping up to be a battleground but election day is still weeks and weeks away,” finished Maggi.

Regional Margins of Error: Vancouver Island +/- 4.33%, 19/20; Greater Vancouver +/- 3.83%, 19/20, Rest of British Columbia +/- 4.17%, 19/20.

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Mainstreet – Federal Debate – BC Only

Toronto-Standard-360

Torontonians Split On Police Conduct

August 7, 2015 (Toronto, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds Torontonians split on whether Toronto police treat all citizens fairly regardless of race. The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.99%, 19/20.

“Surprisingly, numbers are consistent outside downtown – including Scarborough, where confidence is as high as 60%. It is downtown Toronto where a majority of Torontonians, 67%, have a lack of confidence in Toronto Police Services,” said Quito Maggi, president of Mainstreet. “It’s certainly concerning that there is a disconnect between downtown Toronto and the rest of the city, counter intuitively those in downtown Toronto are those most likely to say minority groups in Toronto are doing better than 5 days ago.”

Mainstreet asked Torontonians if they were familiar with the recent death of Andrew Loku or the recent ‘Black Lives Matter’ protest on Allan road. The questions were randomized in order (and the protest was not identified as a ‘Black Lives Matter protest, please see script B9).

Torontonians were more familiar with the protest than the death of Loku, who was killed by a bullet fired by Police, by 5%. Awareness of Loku’s death was highest downtown, where 33% were following the story very or somewhat closely, and lowest in North York (24%).

“Not a lot of Torontonians are aware of either story or following them very closely but protests work and regardless of what you think of them, you talk about them and they bring awareness to issues. I think it speaks volumes that more are following the story of the Allan road closure than death of Mr. Loku,” finished Maggi.

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Mainstreet – Toronto August B

Toronto-Standard-360

Torontonians Support Olympic Bid, Wynne Pension Plan

August 6, 2015 (Toronto, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds 58% support an Olympic bid and 59% support Kathleen Wynne’s expanded pension plan. The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.99%, 19/20.

“There is strong support for an Olympic bid,” said Quito Maggi, president of Mainstreet, “but that support is noticeably lower in downtown Toronto where 47% approve of a bid and 48% disapprove. Scores for the Pan Am Games were very favourable with 51% saying it was very successful – Torontonians may have been a little sceptical at first, but the Pan Am Games seem to have resonated positively.”

The poll found only 43% of Torontonians support converting the Pan Am HOV lanes to toll lanes with 51% opposed. “51%-43% is unlikely to change the province’s mind on moving forward on toll lanes though a majority of Torontonians are opposed,” continued Maggi.

When asked about plans for transit funding Torontonians were split on who had the best plan. 22% chose the Liberals and 21% chose the NDP. 36% say that a party’s plan for transit funding will be very important when deciding their vote. “40% are undecided on who has the best plan for transit funding so there is an opportunity there to win support especially with a majority of Torontonians, 73%, saying that transit funding will be very or somewhat important when deciding their vote. Conservative candidates in Toronto may want to be careful when discussing Kathleen Wynne’s pension plan – Torontonians overwhelmingly support her plan over Stephen Harper’s criticisms in all areas of the city. Wynne’s plan is popular in the 416,” he finished.

Regional margins of error:
Downtown +/- 3.49%; Scarborough +/- 3.96%; Etobicoke +/- 4.13%; North York +/- 4.6%

Highlights
– 59% approve of Wynne’s expanded Ontario Pension Plan
– 58% approve of Toronto bidding on the 2024 Olympic Games
– A majority of Torontonians oppose Toll Roads, 51%
– The Liberals and NDP are tied on who has the best transit funding plan
– 36% say a party’s plan for transit funding will be very important when deciding their vote

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Mainstreet – Toronto August A