A new Mainstreet poll in the new riding of Spadina-Fort York shows Olivia Chow in position to take her former seat back to the NDP from the Liberals’ Adam Vaughan. With 606 respondents the poll carries a margin of error of +/- 3.87%, 19/20.
Mainstreet tested Chow against the current Liberal candidate and the 2014 by election candidates for the Green Party and Conservative Party. Only the Liberals have nominated a candidate in Spadina-Fort York. Chow was previously the MP for Trinity-Spadina which makes up much of the new seat.
“To paraphrase Yogi Berra, it’s deja vu all over again for Olivia Chow. Early scenario polls prior to the 2014 municipal election in Toronto had her leading and these results are similar. Whether Ms. Chow runs for MP is yet to be determined and whether she could maintain similar numbers through the election in October is another question”, said Quito Maggi, president of Mainstreet.
“At this point, with a little under four months until the election, it looks like a Chow run in her old riding would help the NDP. If she decides to run for the NDP, the race for Spadina-Fort York becomes one to watch between two well known, well liked political heavyweights.”
– Olivia Chow leads 36% to 30% over Adam Vaughan if she entered the race
– Among decided voters it is 44% to 36%
– Vaughan leads Chow among undecided voters; though it is within the margin of error
Mainstreet – Spadina-Fort York
June 17th, 2015. Mainstreet Technologies is announcing a new quarterly public poll for the city of Calgary. ‘Calgary Issues’ will be a quarterly publication produced by Mainstreet’s public polling division.
Mainstreet already conducts regular polling in Alberta, Ontario, Saskatchewan, Winnipeg & Toronto.
“Mainstreet already conducts polling and research in Alberta and covered the provincial election extensively”, said Quito Maggi, president of Mainstreet Technologies. “With little public polling conducted in the City of Calgary, conducting a regularly quarterly poll is a great way to give back to the public. Following much positive feedback from our Calgary release earlier this week our board met to formally approve funding for public polling in Calgary to the end of 2017.”
“The polls will be funded by our Public Polling Fund which allows our associates to initiate work in the public interest. We are always soliciting ideas for new polling from the public and media and we invite them to contribute ideas,” finished Maggi.
The first poll in the series was released yesterday and looked at secondary suite reform. Mainstreet will fund the ‘Calgary Issues’ publication until the end of 2017. A minimum of 4 polls will be produced per year with the option to produce ad hoc reports.
About Mainstreet Technologies
Mainstreet Technologies is a national public research ﬁrm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public aﬀairs. Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently it was the most accurate pollster in the 2014 Toronto election and the 2015 Sudbury by election.
A new Mainstreet Technologies poll finds 70% of Calgary residents are following the secondary suites debate at City Hall – and they are divided over outright reform of secondary suites 42% to 37% within the poll’s margin of error of +/- 2.7%, 19/20.
“Much like council, Calgarians are divided over what to do about secondary suites”, said Quito Maggi, president of Mainstreet Technologies. “There is higher support for specific reforms, such as allowing secondary suites in areas already zoned for them or containing them to the inner city, but there is no consensus on allowing secondary suites in all neighbourhoods of the city. Even though the poll mentions a vote would be non-binding, there is strong support for a plebiscite on the issue.”
Meanwhile, Naheed Nenshi scored an approval rating of 57%. Support was lower for City Council (51%) and Local Councillor (47%). Approval/Disapproval scores for Local Councillor were statistically tied.
“We were surprised at the approval scores but the next election is two years away. What is troubling for individual councillors is Calgarians are sharply divided over their local representation. The scores for local councillor are particularly weak – most of the approval comes from those who ‘somewhat approve’ as opposed to those who ‘strongly approve’. The reverse is true for Mayor Nenshi who sees the bulk of his approval score come from those who ‘strongly approve’ of his performance. 70% of Calgarians have been following the secondary suites debate and this may be contributing to the mayor‘s approval rating,” finished Maggi.
– 57% approve of Naheed Nenshi’s performance as mayor
– 51% approve of city council, 47% approve of their local councillor
– 42% of Calgarians approve of widespread secondary suite reform, 37% are opposed, a statistical tie
– 47% approve of secondary suite reform contained to the inner city
– 76% approve of easing rules for secondary suites where they are already allowed
Calgary Issues June
A new Mainstreet Technologies poll finds Torontonians prefer tearing down the Gardiner over rebuilding it. With 2,415 respondents the poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.99%, 19/20.
Meanwhile, John Tory’s approval rating is up 2% to 63% and approval for city council as a whole has jumped 7% to 53%. 58% of Torontonians approve of their local councillor.
“When we asked Torontonians if they approved or disapproved of the two competing plans for the Gardiner east of Jarvis both plans received strong support,” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Technologies. “But the plan to remove the Gardiner east of Jarvis received the highest approval and when we asked Torontonians which option they preferred 45% chose removing the Gardiner.”
“Mr. Tory will need to do more to convince Torontonians the hybrid plan he supports is best for the city. Support for the teardown option is spread evenly among demographic lines though it receives its highest support downtown.” finished Maggi.
– 63% approve of Mayor John Tory
– 53% approve of city council, 58% approve of their local councillor
– 60% approve of the plan to teardown the Gardiner east of Jarvis
– 54% approve of the plan to rebuild the Gardiner mostly as it is (known as the hybrid option)
– 45% prefer to teardown the Gardiner compared to 33% who would prefer to mostly rebuild it
Toronto Issues May 2015