March 2, 2017 (Ottawa, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds the provincial Liberals are leading in the City of Toronto with 42% among decided & leaning voters- but stand to lose seats because their support is concentrated downtown. The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.14 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
“Every single seat will count in the next provincial election and the provincial Liberals will need to hold on to most if not all off their Toronto caucus if they are once again to form government,” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. “While on the surface the Wynne Liberals are performing well, when we drill down into the city a much different picture emerges. The Liberals are trailing the Tories in Etobicoke (45% PC, 32% Liberal) – and are running third in Scarborough (33% PC, 31% NDP, 29% Liberal). In North York they are only ahead by 5 percentage points (42% Liberal, 37% PC). All signs point right now to significant losses in Toronto for the Wynne Liberals if an election were held today.”
“Federally it’s a much different picture with Justin Trudeau’s Liberals leading in every single corner of the city. The Federal NDP are polling at a paltry 8% among decided & leaning voters – not enough to win even a single seat in Canada’s largest city. The Trudeau Liberals currently hold every seat in the city and with these numbers we would expect they would hold onto every single one of them.”
Mainstreet is continuing to track Mayor Tory’s approval rating.
“Compared to last month, total approval for Mayor Tory is down 1 percentage point and disapproval is up 2 percentage points – results within the margin of error,” continued Maggi. “Mayor Tory’s approval has consistently been trending downward while his disapproval has been trending upward – something he and his team will at minimum want to arrest if not reverse. Tory is now at a net disapproval rating of -2 in Etobicoke and holds a net approval of +6 in Scarborough. In downtown Toronto and North York he holds much more impressive scores of +28 and +22 respectively,” finished Maggi.