January 18, 2016 (Toronto, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds Kevin O’Leary and Peter MacKay tied among Conservative Party voters in a hypothetical leadership race. The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.39%, 19 times out of 20.
“Justin Trudeau and the Liberals continue to enjoy a healthy lead with 44% versus the Conservatives under Rona Ambrose at 32% and the third place NDP under Thomas Mulcair at 16%”, said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. “As we begin 2016, the government faces challenging economic factors and global uncertainty as they prepare for their first budget. With a packed agenda, it will be interesting to see how Canadians react to the budget and other legislation, certainly for now, Justin Trudeau and this government continue to carry a great deal of goodwill with voters.”
“We asked NDP and Green voters about their current leaders and found most of them quite satisfied with both Thomas Mulcair and Elizabeth May. Among Green supporters, May’s approval is over 84%, with 68% strongly approving and just 8% disapproving. Only 11% of Green supporters would support a leadership contest to replace Elizabeth May versus 77% who would not. Thomas Mulcair may be lagging in the polls among all voters, but among NDP supporters, his approval is over 72%, with 32% strongly approving. However when asked about a leadership race only 48% of NDP supporters are against one. Compared to Elizabeth May’s number of 77% against, it certainly does not mean that it’s an open-and-shut case.
“Last but not least, we asked Conservative supporters their opinions on various potential leadership candidates. These results were most interesting and will continue to be as this race unfolds.”
“Not surprisingly, former PC Leader Peter MacKay leads the pack with the support of 25% among all Conservative voters. Somewhat surprisingly, none of the other early insider favourites is registering much support with Conservative voters, including Jason Kenney at just 8%, Lisa Raitt at 4.4%, Maxime Bernier with 4% (21% in Quebec), and Kellie Leitch at 3%.”
“Most surprisingly, TV personality and capitalist pundit Kevin O’Leary would get the support of over 23% of Conservative voters, just behind Peter MacKay, and leads MacKay in western Canada (BC, AB and Prairies).”
“Kevin O’Leary is an entertaining personality and shameless self-promoter. He has been called the Canadian Donald Trump and follows in the footsteps of Arnold Schwarzenegger, Sonny Bono, Ronald Reagan and other celebrities who have capitalized on name recognition to enter politics. Should he actually enter the Conservative leadership race there would be support – but whether he actually intends to run is another matter entirely. Certainly he has the potential to shake-up the race and despite being a newcomer to politics, would be one of the candidates to watch.”
About Mainstreet Research
Mainstreet is a national public research ﬁrm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public aﬀairs.
Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.