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Kenney PCs in Stasis

April 28, 2017 (Ottawa, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds the PC Party polling at the same levels as earlier in February – despite a new leader. The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.99 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

“It’s groundhog month for the Alberta PCs,” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. It doesn’t look like the PC Party has seen a Jason Kenney leadership bump – or perhaps there was one but it was short lived. Lately Mr. Kenney appears to have kept a low profile after a flare up over GSAs.”

“All numbers are essentially within the margin of error from our last check-up on the Alberta horserace. This is the first time we have polled the PCs led by Jason Kenney.”

Mainstreet’s methodology lists party name and leader to test voter support, ie. the NDP led by Rachel Notley, The Progressive Conservatives led by Jason Kenney.

“The movement that we’ve seen is mainly beneficial for the NDP. The PCs have dropped to 33% support in Calgary (from 38%) and the NDP are up one point to 27% with the Wildrose following at 24%. The PCs have made ground outside the urban centres however where they are up to 30% from 27%. With the regional margin of error higher than the overall survey, we would want to confirm these results in a subsequent poll before coming to any definite conclusions.”

“As discussions continue surrounding a potential merger, we asked Albertans who they would prefer to see as leader of the merged party. 29% told us Brian Jean with a further 24% citing Mr. Kenney, the remainder are not sure or would prefer someone else. This is an increase in support for Mr. Kenney from last month. Wildrose Voters prefer Mr. Jean (42% support) while PC Voters prefer Mr. Kenney (36%). There is a significant gap between Mr. Jean and Mr. Kenney among Wildrose supporters but they are more or less evenly matched among Wildrose voters.”

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Mainstreet – Alberta April 2017 by Mainstreet on Scribd