April 1, 2017 (Ottawa, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds the B.C. Greens continue to gain – and now tie the B.C. Liberals on Vancouver Island for first place. The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.41 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
“It’s another week of growth for the Greens this week” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. “But many questions remain as to whether voters will actually vote for the Green Party at the ballot box. Only 35% of Green Party Voters say their vote is locked in – 45% of Green Voters say they may change their mind. To be sure, a vote is a vote is a vote – but only if it’s actually cast and counted.”
“The strength of the Green Party vote has fallen but this is mainly a result of the fact they are adding new supporters. The Strength of the B.C. Liberal vote is strongest at 73% followed by that of the BC NDP at 64%.”
Among all voters: 25% Liberal, 29% NDP, 14% Green, 9% Conservative, 23% Undecided
Among Decided & Leaning Voters: 34% Liberal, 36% NDP, 19% Green, 11 Conservative
“This week we stopped asking BC Conservative Voters about their vote strength and second choice to instead ask them what they plan to do if there is no Conservative Candidate in their riding.”
The question was: So far, the B.C. Conservatives have nominated 6 candidates out of 87 constituencies. If there is no B.C. Conservative in your riding who would you vote for?
B.C. Conservatives said: 11% would vote for the B.C. Liberals, 20% would vote for the B.C. NDP, 9% would vote for the B.C. Greens, 37% are undecided in what they would do and 23% said they would not vote at all.
“Using these numbers we’re able to create a new voter intention number – ‘Decided and Leaning with BC Conservative Voters Reassigned’,” continued Maggi. “Using this new measure we can show what would happen if the Conservatives had no candidates at all. Those new numbers are 37% for the B.C. Liberals, 41% for the B.C. NDP and 22% for the B.C. Greens.”
“When we look at the standard decided and leaning number we see just a gap between the Liberals and NDP of just two percentage points. This is an incredibly tight race,” he finished.