February 21, 2017 (Ottawa, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds a deadlock between Christy Clark’s Liberals and John Horgan’s NDP with almost 1 in 3 British Columbians undecided. The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
“This is an incredibly close race,” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. “Among decided and leaning voters, it is a virtual tie in the Greater Vancouver area, it would be impossible to predict what the result would be with these kinds of numbers. Once again, we are finding the Green Party in competitive shape. Outside Greater Vancouver the Green Party is scoring 22% with decided & leaning voters – however Green Party supporters are the most likely to say they will change their minds (48%).”
“Supporters of the Liberals and NDP are evenly matched in the strength of their support. 63% of Liberal voters and 62% of NDP voters say they won’t be changing their minds before Election Day. The highest strength of support is among BC Conservatives voters – 68% of them say they won’t change their minds. If the BC Conservatives fail to run a full slate across the province one interesting question will be who these voters support – or if they even show up to vote at all.”
“53% of Green Party supporters say the NDP is their second choice – and inverse is true of soft NDP supporters who say the Green Party would be their second choice. Troublingly for the Liberals they do not lead as the second choice of either the NDP, Greens or Conservatives.”
“These numbers have to be somewhat troubling for Christy Clark, they point to limited growth potential – but they are positive too. For now, the Green Party is doing well across the province, even if they have a tenuous grasp on those votes, and that helps local Liberal candidates on the ground.”
“The election campaign hasn’t officially started. What we know right now is that we don’t know enough,” Maggi finished.