April 20, 2016 (Ottawa, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds the Liberal party continuing to dominate the national landscape. With the NDP beginning their search for a new leader, Mainstreet polled NDP voters and among them Nathan Cullen leads a potential race with 17% – tied with ‘someone else’. The Mainstreet/Postmedia Poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.38%, 19 times out of 20.
“The Liberals and Justin Trudeau continue to dominate with 48% of decided and leaning voters followed by the Rona Ambrose led Conservatives at 30%. Tom Mulcair and the NDP continue to plumb new depths at just 14%, with the Greens at 5% and BQ at 3%,” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research.
“It looks like there might be room for a dark horse in the upcoming NDP leadership as Nathan Cullen is tied for the lead at 17% with “someone else”. With over 25% of identified NDP supporters undecided on who they might support in what is yet an unknown field, this could open the door for one or more unknown candidates to enter the contest. There are some regional strengths for both Jagmeet Singh in Ontario and Niki Ashton in the prairies.
“Among NDP supporters, Rachel Notley has the highest favourability score with +60, followed in a distant second by Nathan Cullen at +28 and a strong third for Jagmeet Singh at +27. This could be a factor in the upcoming leadership as Notley’s influence in the party grows.”
“The Leap Manifesto is a hot topic among respondents, with 53% saying they are following this very closely and another 27% somewhat closely. This compared to just 16% combined who said they were not following it closely or not at all. Approval is split with a majority saying they approve (58%) vs 31% who disapprove. The breakdown among support is interesting with strong approval (17%) and strong disapproval (20%). This issue will continue to dominate headlines and the coming leadership contest,” finished Maggi.
About Mainstreet Research
Mainstreet is a national public research ﬁrm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public aﬀairs.
Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.